BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD
BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is a Texas gas lease in Nacogdoches County, Railroad Commission district 06, operated by Aethon Energy Operating LLC. It has 1 wellbore on file with the Commission. Reported production runs from August 2023 to August 2026, totalling 4,939,014 thousand cubic feet. The lease is currently producing. Fitting a decline curve to that history and pricing the remaining production at today's forward curve values the whole lease — a 100% undivided interest — at about $2.3M, with roughly $1.3M expected over the next twelve months. An individual royalty owner receives their own decimal interest times that figure. Over the last twelve months on file it averaged 116,597 thousand cubic feet a month. Its strongest month on the record we hold was September 2024, at 276,597 thousand cubic feet. In our own backtest, leases producing at this rate are forecast to within about 18% of what they went on to produce, and that measured error is the range shown on the page rather than a confidence of our own devising.
Key facts about BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD
- Who operates BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD?
- BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is operated by Aethon Energy Operating LLC, Railroad Commission of Texas operator number 008555.
- Where is BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD?
- BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is a Texas gas lease in Nacogdoches County, Texas, in Railroad Commission district 06. Its Railroad Commission lease number is 296534.
- Is BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD still producing?
- BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is currently producing. The most recent month of production reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas for BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is August 2026.
- How much has BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD produced?
- BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD has reported 4,939,014 thousand cubic feet of gas (Mcf) to the Railroad Commission of Texas between August 2023 and August 2026, from 1 wellbore.
- How much is BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD worth?
- The remaining production from BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is estimated to be worth about $2.3M in total as of 26 August 2026, within a range of $1.8M to $2.7M. That figure is the whole lease, undivided — not any one owner's share. A royalty interest in BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is a fraction of it. The estimate fits an Arps decline curve to the production BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD has already reported, prices the remaining production at the current forward strip, and discounts it at 12% a year. The figure shown for BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is an estimate of value, not an offer and not an appraisal.
- How much income does BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD generate in a year?
- BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD is forecast to net about $1.3M across the whole undivided lease over the twelve months following 26 August 2026, before income tax. A royalty owner in BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD receives a fraction of that, set by the decimal interest printed on their check stub.
Lease record
| Operator | Aethon Energy Operating LLC |
|---|---|
| Field | Carthage (Haynesville Shale) |
| County | Nacogdoches County, Texas |
| RRC district | 06 |
| Lease number | 296534 |
| Wellbores | 1 |
| Reported production | 4,939,014 mcf |
| First reported | |
| Last reported | |
| Estimated royalty value | $2.3M |
Where BLUE JAY - BLACKBIRD sits
Source: Railroad Commission of Texas lease production records, complete through . Figures on this page were computed on .
Production figures are as reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas. The value shown is an estimate produced by fitting a decline curve to that reported history; it is not an offer or an appraisal. How this estimate is calculated.