LYNCH15 P1
LYNCH15 P1 is a Texas oil lease in Upton County, Railroad Commission district 7C, operated by Cog Operating LLC. It has 1 wellbore on file with the Commission. Reported production runs from November 2012 to August 2026, totalling 309,743 barrels. The lease is currently producing. Fitting a decline curve to that history and pricing the remaining production at today's forward curve values the whole lease — a 100% undivided interest — at about $758K, with roughly $263K expected over the next twelve months. An individual royalty owner receives their own decimal interest times that figure. Over the last twelve months on file it averaged 536 barrels a month. Its strongest month on the record we hold was September 2016, at 2,553 barrels. In our own backtest, leases producing at this rate are forecast to within about 22% of what they went on to produce, and that measured error is the range shown on the page rather than a confidence of our own devising.
Key facts about LYNCH15 P1
- Who operates LYNCH15 P1?
- LYNCH15 P1 is operated by Cog Operating LLC, Railroad Commission of Texas operator number 166150.
- Where is LYNCH15 P1?
- LYNCH15 P1 is a Texas oil lease in Upton County, Texas, in Railroad Commission district 7C. Its Railroad Commission lease number is 18228.
- Is LYNCH15 P1 still producing?
- LYNCH15 P1 is currently producing. The most recent month of production reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas for LYNCH15 P1 is August 2026.
- How much has LYNCH15 P1 produced?
- LYNCH15 P1 has reported 309,743 barrels of oil (bbl) to the Railroad Commission of Texas between November 2012 and August 2026, from 1 wellbore.
- How much is LYNCH15 P1 worth?
- The remaining production from LYNCH15 P1 is estimated to be worth about $758K in total as of 26 August 2026, within a range of $591K to $925K. That figure is the whole lease, undivided — not any one owner's share. A royalty interest in LYNCH15 P1 is a fraction of it. The estimate fits an Arps decline curve to the production LYNCH15 P1 has already reported, prices the remaining production at the current forward strip, and discounts it at 12% a year. The figure shown for LYNCH15 P1 is an estimate of value, not an offer and not an appraisal.
- How much income does LYNCH15 P1 generate in a year?
- LYNCH15 P1 is forecast to net about $263K across the whole undivided lease over the twelve months following 26 August 2026, before income tax. A royalty owner in LYNCH15 P1 receives a fraction of that, set by the decimal interest printed on their check stub.
Lease record
| Operator | Cog Operating LLC |
|---|---|
| Field | Spraberry (Trend Area) |
| County | Upton County, Texas |
| RRC district | 7C |
| Lease number | 18228 |
| Wellbores | 1 |
| Reported production | 309,743 bbl |
| First reported | |
| Last reported | |
| Estimated royalty value | $758K |
Where LYNCH15 P1 sits
Source: Railroad Commission of Texas lease production records, complete through . Figures on this page were computed on .
Production figures are as reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas. The value shown is an estimate produced by fitting a decline curve to that reported history; it is not an offer or an appraisal. How this estimate is calculated.