SHEPHERD, W. J. GAS UNIT

SHEPHERD, W. J. GAS UNIT is a Texas gas lease in Wise County, Railroad Commission district 09, operated by Mitchell Energy Corporation. It has 1 wellbore on file with the Commission. Reported production runs from March 1998 to August 2026, totalling 2,234,619 thousand cubic feet. The lease is currently producing. Fitting a decline curve to that history and pricing the remaining production at today's forward curve values a standard royalty share at about $8K, with roughly $1K expected over the next twelve months. Over the last twelve months on file it averaged 2,080 thousand cubic feet a month. Its strongest month on the record we hold was May 2016, at 3,628 thousand cubic feet. In our own backtest, leases producing at this rate are forecast to within about 17% of what they went on to produce, and that measured error is the range shown on the page rather than a confidence of our own devising.

Production figures are as reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas. The value shown is an estimate produced by fitting a decline curve to that reported history; it is not an offer or an appraisal.