TXL HOLZGRAF Y1

TXL HOLZGRAF Y1 is a Texas oil lease in Upton County, Railroad Commission district 7C, operated by Cog Operating LLC. It has 1 wellbore on file with the Commission. Reported production runs from December 2022 to August 2026, totalling 322,654 barrels. The lease is currently producing. Fitting a decline curve to that history and pricing the remaining production at today's forward curve values a standard royalty share at about $88K, with roughly $57K expected over the next twelve months. Over the last twelve months on file it averaged 5,438 barrels a month. Its strongest month on the record we hold was February 2024, at 19,767 barrels. In our own backtest, leases producing at this rate are forecast to within about 17% of what they went on to produce, and that measured error is the range shown on the page rather than a confidence of our own devising.

Production figures are as reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas. The value shown is an estimate produced by fitting a decline curve to that reported history; it is not an offer or an appraisal.