LUCKY
LUCKY is a Texas oil lease in Howard County, Railroad Commission district 08, operated by SM Energy Company. It has 1 wellbore on file with the Commission. Reported production runs from May 2019 to August 2026, totalling 241,674 barrels. The lease is currently producing. Fitting a decline curve to that history and pricing the remaining production at today's forward curve values the whole lease — a 100% undivided interest — at about $2.3M, with roughly $1.1M expected over the next twelve months. An individual royalty owner receives their own decimal interest times that figure. Over the last twelve months on file it averaged 1,142 barrels a month. Its strongest month on the record we hold was June 2019, at 25,803 barrels. In our own backtest, leases producing at this rate are forecast to within about 17% of what they went on to produce, and that measured error is the range shown on the page rather than a confidence of our own devising.
Key facts about LUCKY
- Who operates LUCKY?
- LUCKY is operated by SM Energy Company, Railroad Commission of Texas operator number 788997.
- Where is LUCKY?
- LUCKY is a Texas oil lease in Howard County, Texas, in Railroad Commission district 08. Its Railroad Commission lease number is 52016.
- Is LUCKY still producing?
- LUCKY is currently producing. The most recent month of production reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas for LUCKY is August 2026.
- How much has LUCKY produced?
- LUCKY has reported 241,674 barrels of oil (bbl) to the Railroad Commission of Texas between May 2019 and August 2026, from 1 wellbore.
- How much is LUCKY worth?
- The remaining production from LUCKY is estimated to be worth about $2.3M in total as of 26 August 2026, within a range of $1.9M to $2.7M. That figure is the whole lease, undivided — not any one owner's share. A royalty interest in LUCKY is a fraction of it. The estimate fits an Arps decline curve to the production LUCKY has already reported, prices the remaining production at the current forward strip, and discounts it at 12% a year. The figure shown for LUCKY is an estimate of value, not an offer and not an appraisal.
- How much income does LUCKY generate in a year?
- LUCKY is forecast to net about $1.1M across the whole undivided lease over the twelve months following 26 August 2026, before income tax. A royalty owner in LUCKY receives a fraction of that, set by the decimal interest printed on their check stub.
Lease record
| Operator | SM Energy Company |
|---|---|
| Field | Spraberry (Trend Area) |
| County | Howard County, Texas |
| RRC district | 08 |
| Lease number | 52016 |
| Wellbores | 1 |
| Reported production | 241,674 bbl |
| First reported | |
| Last reported | |
| Estimated royalty value | $2.3M |
Where LUCKY sits
Source: Railroad Commission of Texas lease production records, complete through . Figures on this page were computed on .
Production figures are as reported to the Railroad Commission of Texas. The value shown is an estimate produced by fitting a decline curve to that reported history; it is not an offer or an appraisal. How this estimate is calculated.